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Brisbane Weather Now

BRISBANE WEATHER
Latest weather long range forecast ::
Queensland: Week by Week (Updated)

above average warm nights so far
Sea surface temperatures 3rd warmest on record in August


October:
OCT 11 Onwards:
Sea Surface Temperatures likely to remain warmer then usual for October particu;ar;y east Coast
Climate Drivers ENSO still no change on Neutral bordering La Nina Rain for East Coast. It May reach La Nina during spring and
return to Neutral by summer More dryer
Indian Ocean Dipole Negative Phase More Rain for West Coast but will return to Neutral by Summer with more dryer conditions.
Southern Ocean Annular Mode SAM neutral to Negative More westeries for East of australia and NZ and will remain this season
possible storms may happen during summer

At A Quick Glance:

it is no secret that Spring looks like it will be an active one with a Negative IOD,
cool neutral to borderline La Nina conditions and above average SST's around the country.
As we head deeper into the wet season, those climatic conditions neutralise somewhat,
and this is reflected in the climate modelling for Summer.

Coral Sea is above normal Temperatures

Overview of climate (Long Range):
IOD: Negative and dipping further Feeding more Moisture from Indian ocean and coral sea until January rise to neutral
La Nina at Cool Neutral to Borderline and dipping further until summer with projections of el nino conditions

Australia - South Pacific --- A fairly text-book spring pattern continues in the Southern Hemisphere as a Sudden
Stratospheric Warming (SSW) event over Antarctica adds a bit more "oomph" to the usual spring westerly chaos.

For the most part Spring 2025 is what we'd call a typical "classic spring" with a mixture of lows and highs moving through -
but there's also a definite boost in westerlies across New Zealand and the southern half of Australia.

Despite the blustery spring for some, those in northern Australia continue to lean drier - but more signs of the wet season
are now showing up as thunderstorms and tropical showers start to develop. More low pressure is also forming in the north,
although not yet producing much rain.

Eastern New Zealand is also drying out, while the west of NZ and the deep south of the South Island remain average to
maybe wetter than average in some locations.
















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